FC St Pauli vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
HAM
1 - 0
STP
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
STP
1 - 3
COT
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
STP
2 - 3
OSN
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
2 - 1
STP
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
STP
1 - 1
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
1 - 2
HAM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
OSN
1 - 0
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
0 - 4
SCF
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
3 - 1
DIE
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
FCU
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |