St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
BSV
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LUB
2 - 0
STP
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
BOR
4 - 1
STP
34%
25%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
STP
0 - 2
WEI
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VFB
0 - 3
STP
51%
24%
24%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VFB
4 - 0
HAV
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HAN
4 - 1
VFB
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
VFB
2 - 1
EIB
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
HAN
1 - 2
VFB
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
VFB
0 - 3
STP
51%
24%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |