St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EIN
3 - 1
STP
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
STP
2 - 0
GOS
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
LUB
0 - 0
STP
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STP
1 - 1
HAV
37%
24%
39%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MEP
2 - 2
STP
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VFB
3 - 1
BSV
67%
19%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 3
VFB
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 2
CLO
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
WER
4 - 0
VFB
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 0
LSK
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |