St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
SVL
0 - 2
STP
22%
24%
55%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
STP
1 - 1
OBE
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
OSS
1 - 2
STP
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
STP
2 - 3
CLO
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
HUL
1 - 3
STP
19%
21%
60%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VFB
4 - 2
LUB
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
HEE
3 - 0
VFB
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SVL
1 - 3
VFB
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
VFB
2 - 1
OBE
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
OSS
2 - 3
VFB
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |