St. Pauli II vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
WER
1 - 1
STP
49%
26%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
STP
3 - 0
HOL
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
CLO
1 - 2
STP
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
STP
3 - 4
EIN
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
STP
2 - 2
ADF
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
VFB
1 - 0
HAM
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
EBT
2 - 0
VFB
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
VFB
2 - 0
WSV
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1995 |
OSN
2 - 3
VFB
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1995 |
VFB
2 - 1
LUN
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |