St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
STP
2 - 0
LUP
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
BOR
62%
22%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
STP
4 - 0
SAS
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
JED
2 - 1
STP
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
STP
1 - 2
VFB
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LUB
2 - 0
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
LUB
3 - 0
HOL
56%
23%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LUP
0 - 3
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
LUB
0 - 0
WOL
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JED
0 - 4
LUB
29%
23%
47%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |