St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
STP
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BSV
3 - 1
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
STP
2 - 1
HAN
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
EIB
3 - 1
STP
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -3 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STP
1 - 0
MEP
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUB
2 - 1
HAV
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HAN
2 - 1
LUB
38%
24%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2015 |
EIB
3 - 1
LUB
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
LUB
0 - 2
MEP
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HAM
2 - 2
LUB
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |