St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GOS
3 - 2
STP
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2009 |
STP
1 - 1
HAL
18%
26%
56%
|
30 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
STP
4 - 3
BAR
58%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
STP
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
VOO
0 - 6
STP
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LUB
0 - 0
HAM
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GOS
1 - 3
LUB
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LUB
1 - 1
MAG
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
LUB
2 - 1
M05
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 0
LUB
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |