St. Pauli II vs VfB Lübeck II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
COH
2 - 5
STP
48%
26%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
STP
1 - 3
CLO
24%
26%
50%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BAR
2 - 1
STP
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
STP
0 - 2
AHA
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
MEP
2 - 0
STP
65%
20%
14%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
LUB
0 - 4
ALT
33%
25%
42%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
VHG
3 - 1
LUB
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
BSV
2 - 0
LUB
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 1
COH
40%
25%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CLO
3 - 1
LUB
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |