St. Pauli II vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VFR
0 - 1
STP
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
HUL
2 - 2
STP
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
STP
3 - 0
OSS
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
WOL
7 - 1
STP
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
STP
0 - 0
AHA
49%
25%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
HOL
1 - 1
HUL
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
OSS
1 - 2
HOL
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
HOL
1 - 2
WOL
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
AHA
0 - 0
HOL
39%
24%
38%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
HOL
5 - 1
RAE
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |