St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EIN
1 - 4
STP
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
WOL
26%
25%
50%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HOL
0 - 1
STP
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
VFL
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
WER
1 - 0
STP
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HAM
1 - 1
LUP
73%
17%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
JED
1 - 1
HAM
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
HAM
1 - 1
VFB
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WEI
3 - 1
HAM
51%
24%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
HAM
1 - 0
DRO
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |