St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HAN
3 - 4
STP
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
STP
1 - 0
WIL
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
WOL
4 - 0
STP
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
STP
4 - 1
VFR
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
STP
3 - 5
BSV
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
VFR
1 - 3
HAM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 3
HAN
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MEP
1 - 0
HAM
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 2
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
VHG
1 - 3
HAM
44%
24%
33%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +2 |