St. Pauli II vs Hamburger SV II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
STP
2 - 3
WIL
57%
20%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
6 - 0
STP
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
STP
1 - 4
GOS
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 0
STP
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
WER
6 - 0
STP
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HAM
1 - 3
BSV
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 2
VHG
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
CLO
1 - 1
HAM
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAM
2 - 0
VFR
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HAV
2 - 0
HAM
56%
22%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |