St Patrick's vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
LON
2 - 0
STP
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
DRO
2 - 2
STP
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
STP
0 - 1
SHE
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
DER
1 - 1
STP
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
STP
1 - 0
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
UCD
2 - 1
DRO
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2003 |
SHE
0 - 0
UCD
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
UCD
2 - 0
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
WAT
2 - 2
UCD
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
UCD
1 - 1
SHR
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |