St Patrick's vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
7º
42
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 67 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 56 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 55 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 41 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 59.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82% | 29% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
SHR
1 - 0
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
STP
2 - 0
DER
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
STP
4 - 3
SLR
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
GAL
2 - 1
STP
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
STP
0 - 0
DRO
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
WAT
0 - 3
BOH
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
BOH
0 - 1
DRO
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAO
2 - 1
BOH
37%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BOH
1 - 0
SHR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |