St. Mirren vs St Bernard's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1897 |
STM
1 - 0
PAR
68%
17%
15%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1897 |
TLA
2 - 0
STM
44%
22%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1897 |
STM
2 - 0
CEL
31%
22%
46%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1897 |
TLA
1 - 3
STM
66%
16%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1897 |
STM
2 - 0
HIB
35%
23%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
St Bernard's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1897 |
DUN
0 - 0
STB
61%
21%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1897 |
STB
2 - 4
GLA
24%
21%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1897 |
GLA
3 - 2
STB
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1896 |
STB
3 - 2
GLA
25%
21%
55%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1896 |
STB
6 - 0
ABE
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |