St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
20.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
6º
31
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GLA
5 - 2
STM
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HOM
0 - 2
STM
58%
23%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
STM
3 - 0
LIV
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
STM
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
STM
1 - 5
CEL
13%
20%
68%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 4
CEL
13%
19%
68%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 0
KIL
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 1
HOM
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
STJ
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 1
KIL
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |