St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
STM
0 - 1
HIB
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
STM
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
STM
2 - 0
STJ
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
STM
2 - 1
ICT
35%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOM
2 - 3
ICT
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
HOM
0 - 3
KIL
48%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
HOM
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 2
HOM
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
71%
19%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |