St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
42.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
ICT
1 - 2
STM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
STM
1 - 2
STJ
34%
28%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 0
STM
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
STM
1 - 1
MHE
28%
29%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
STM
0 - 1
CEL
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 1
ICT
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
MHE
1 - 2
HOM
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
HOM
5 - 0
ABE
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
HOM
2 - 0
HAM
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
STJ
0 - 2
HOM
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |