St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
STM
0 - 2
CEL
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
STM
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 0
STM
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
STM
1 - 1
STJ
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
KIL
1 - 2
STM
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
HAM
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
71%
19%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CEL
2 - 1
HOM
61%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2009 |
HOM
1 - 0
KIL
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
STJ
2 - 2
HOM
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |