St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
RAI
0 - 3
STM
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1961 |
STM
1 - 0
KIL
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
ABE
1 - 0
STM
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1961 |
STM
2 - 2
AYR
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1961 |
KIL
1 - 2
HOM
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1961 |
HOM
1 - 0
RAI
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 3
HOM
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1961 |
HOM
2 - 1
DUN
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
HOM
0 - 0
STM
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |