St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1951 |
GRE
5 - 2
STM
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
STM
0 - 0
FAL
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
CLY
2 - 1
STM
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
HIB
3 - 1
STM
75%
15%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
STM
0 - 0
CEL
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1951 |
HOM
2 - 1
HIB
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1950 |
CEL
2 - 2
HOM
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1950 |
HOM
1 - 1
DUN
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1950 |
RAI
2 - 0
HOM
42%
22%
35%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1950 |
HOM
4 - 2
FAL
77%
13%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |