St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1936 |
PAR
1 - 1
STM
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
ABE
5 - 4
STM
70%
17%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
STM
4 - 0
DUN
35%
23%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
STM
1 - 3
PAR
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
ARB
2 - 2
STM
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1936 |
HOM
4 - 1
ARB
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1936 |
ALB
1 - 3
HOM
23%
19%
58%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1936 |
HOM
5 - 2
GLA
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1936 |
QOS
0 - 4
HOM
21%
19%
60%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1936 |
QUE
0 - 2
HOM
25%
20%
54%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |