St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1932 |
STM
3 - 1
TLA
56%
19%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1932 |
FAL
2 - 3
STM
51%
20%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1932 |
STM
2 - 0
GLA
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
STM
5 - 1
DUN
73%
15%
12%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1932 |
STM
2 - 1
AIR
62%
18%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1932 |
HAM
3 - 2
HOM
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1932 |
HOM
4 - 0
AIR
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1932 |
PAR
1 - 2
HOM
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1932 |
HOM
2 - 0
QUE
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1932 |
HOM
4 - 2
HAM
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |