St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
CWB
1 - 1
STM
41%
20%
39%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
KIL
2 - 3
STM
39%
23%
37%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
STM
3 - 0
GRE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
HIB
0 - 2
STM
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1925 |
ABE
1 - 2
STM
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1925 |
HOM
3 - 0
PAR
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1925 |
HIB
0 - 0
HOM
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1925 |
HOM
4 - 3
CWB
64%
18%
18%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1925 |
DUN
1 - 0
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1925 |
HOM
3 - 0
GLA
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |