St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
FAL
3 - 1
STM
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
STM
3 - 1
QUE
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
CLY
0 - 3
STM
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
STM
4 - 0
MHE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
ABE
2 - 1
STM
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
HOM
0 - 0
TLA
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
HAM
1 - 3
HOM
25%
24%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
HOM
1 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
RAI
0 - 0
HOM
28%
25%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
HOM
4 - 0
GRE
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |