St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1905 |
DUN
1 - 2
STM
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
TLA
3 - 0
STM
80%
12%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1905 |
MHE
3 - 2
STM
26%
24%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
STM
1 - 1
QUE
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1905 |
STM
0 - 1
AIR
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1905 |
HOM
3 - 2
TLA
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1905 |
HOM
2 - 0
QUE
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1905 |
HOM
2 - 0
GRE
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1905 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1905 |
GRE
1 - 0
HOM
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |