St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1899 |
KIL
2 - 2
STM
50%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1899 |
STM
1 - 1
TLA
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1899 |
STM
2 - 2
CEL
30%
22%
48%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1899 |
DUN
5 - 2
STM
27%
22%
51%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1899 |
STM
1 - 1
HIB
34%
23%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1899 |
HOM
4 - 1
DUN
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1899 |
HOM
3 - 2
CEL
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1899 |
HIB
1 - 0
HOM
57%
20%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1899 |
CLY
1 - 2
HOM
20%
19%
62%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1899 |
HOM
5 - 0
STB
75%
15%
11%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |