St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1891 |
STM
1 - 0
CEL
31%
24%
46%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
STM
2 - 3
CAM
36%
24%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
VOL
5 - 2
STM
33%
23%
44%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1891 |
STM
3 - 2
TLA
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1891 |
DUM
5 - 1
STM
57%
22%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 1
ABE
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1891 |
HOM
4 - 1
TLA
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1891 |
COW
1 - 2
HOM
40%
25%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1891 |
CEL
1 - 0
HOM
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1891 |
HOM
1 - 0
STM
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |