St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
DUN
4 - 3
STM
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 1
STM
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STM
1 - 3
QOS
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ALB
3 - 4
STM
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AYR
1 - 1
STM
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
2 - 0
AYR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
3 - 1
DUN
36%
26%
39%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RAI
0 - 2
FAL
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FAL
6 - 1
ELG
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FAL
1 - 0
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |