St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
34.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
HIB
6 - 1
STM
65%
19%
16%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
STM
1 - 1
ARB
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
PAR
3 - 0
STM
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
STM
4 - 0
STJ
49%
22%
30%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
STM
2 - 2
MHE
35%
22%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1938 |
FAL
3 - 1
AYR
65%
17%
19%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
TLA
2 - 2
FAL
50%
20%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
FAL
1 - 1
CEL
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
HIB
3 - 0
FAL
41%
22%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
FAL
2 - 0
ARB
77%
13%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |