St. Mirren vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
HAM
3 - 0
STM
48%
22%
30%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
CLY
4 - 0
STM
35%
24%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1929 |
STM
1 - 4
CWB
60%
19%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1929 |
AIR
3 - 0
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
STM
0 - 1
CEL
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1929 |
FAL
2 - 2
CWB
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1929 |
PAR
5 - 2
FAL
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1929 |
FAL
3 - 3
HOM
44%
23%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1929 |
FAL
3 - 1
TLA
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
DUN
1 - 2
FAL
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |