St. Mirren vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
6º
5º
78
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
STM
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
KIL
41%
30%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 0
STM
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STM
0 - 0
MHE
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
STM
2 - 0
ROS
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
GLA
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 3
CEL
25%
23%
53%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
LIV
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 2
HOM
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
FEY
23%
20%
57%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |