St. Mirren vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.6%
29%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
AIR
4 - 1
STM
47%
22%
32%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
STM
7 - 2
TLA
60%
19%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
HIB
2 - 1
STM
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
STM
2 - 3
ABE
43%
23%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
GLA
3 - 0
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1933 |
AYR
5 - 1
TLA
62%
17%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1933 |
CWB
2 - 2
AYR
38%
20%
42%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1933 |
AYR
3 - 1
PAR
55%
20%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1933 |
AYR
3 - 2
STJ
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1933 |
QUE
4 - 5
AYR
66%
16%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |