St. Mirren vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
MHE
4 - 1
STM
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
STM
2 - 1
TLA
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
STM
1 - 2
CEL
34%
23%
43%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1937 |
DUN
1 - 0
STM
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1937 |
FAL
5 - 1
STM
77%
13%
10%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
ARB
1 - 0
HIB
56%
21%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1937 |
MHE
3 - 1
ARB
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
FAL
0 - 1
ARB
76%
13%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1937 |
ARB
3 - 0
DUN
17%
18%
65%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1937 |
ARB
2 - 1
PAR
39%
23%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |