St. Michaels AFC vs Usher Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
58.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michaels AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SMC
0 - 5
WAT
3%
8%
89%
|
11 | 70 | 59 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SMC
0 - 0
GUF
49%
21%
30%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
AVO
2 - 0
SMC
66%
19%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SMC
0 - 0
AVO
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SMC
4 - 2
UCC
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Usher Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
BOH
2 - 0
USC
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 76 | 60 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
USC
6 - 0
MAL
59%
20%
22%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 2
USC
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 73 | 59 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
USC
0 - 4
SHR
7%
18%
75%
|
14 | 79 | 65 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
USC
67%
18%
16%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |