St. Michael vs Treibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SAS
0 - 2
MIC
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MIC
1 - 1
SCL
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
LEN
0 - 4
MIC
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +3 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
MIC
1 - 1
FCW
52%
23%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
RAP
0 - 0
MIC
66%
19%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SCL
0 - 0
TRE
16%
22%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
3 - 1
FCW
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SVV
4 - 1
TRE
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
SCL
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
0 - 1
TRE
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |