St. Michael vs SV Villach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SKA
3 - 0
MIC
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MIC
3 - 2
SAS
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
WEL
2 - 0
MIC
58%
22%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MIC
0 - 2
WOL
48%
25%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SVP
0 - 0
MIC
20%
23%
58%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
SV Villach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SVV
3 - 2
SPI
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
FEL
2 - 2
SVV
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SVV
0 - 1
BLE
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SVV
3 - 2
SKA
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 4
SVV
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |