St. Michael vs Penk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Michael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
3 - 1
MIC
44%
25%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
SCL
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
WAC
3 - 0
MIC
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MIC
0 - 0
WOL
47%
25%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
VOL
28%
25%
47%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 2
SPI
13%
21%
66%
|
11 | 31 | 20 | 0 |