St. Margrethen vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
UZW
5 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 4
RUT
14%
17%
69%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHU
2 - 1
MAR
73%
14%
12%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
KOS
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UST
0 - 0
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
FRE
34%
21%
45%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FCS
0 - 0
WIL
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
5 - 0
KRE
46%
20%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UZW
2 - 1
WIL
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |