St. Margrethen vs Wil II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
43.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WID
1 - 3
MAR
81%
12%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
UST
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
UZW
3 - 0
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
GOS
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
SIR
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wil II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 5
SEE
26%
22%
52%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KRE
3 - 1
WIL
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
WID
4 - 2
WIL
59%
19%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 3
UST
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UZW
1 - 0
WIL
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |