St. Louis Lions vs Des Moines Menace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2009 |
KCB
2 - 4
STL
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SPR
0 - 5
STL
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
STL
2 - 1
ROC
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
STL
3 - 2
KCB
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
STL
2 - 2
DES
36%
25%
40%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
DES
1 - 0
REA
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
SPR
1 - 3
DES
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DES
2 - 1
ROC
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
DES
1 - 1
COL
61%
21%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
STL
2 - 2
DES
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |