St. Joseph's vs Shamrock Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CLI
2 - 3
JOS
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
JOS
2 - 2
CLI
44%
24%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
JOS
6 - 0
LIO
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MAN
0 - 2
JOS
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
JOS
2 - 1
CEU
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
SHR
4 - 0
WEX
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SLR
2 - 2
SHR
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SHR
1 - 0
WAT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2025 |
BOH
2 - 0
SHR
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
SHR
4 - 1
CAO
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |