Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 3-1
St. Johnstone vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
STJ
1 - 1
HIB
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
STJ
2 - 0
KIL
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
VAA
1 - 1
STJ
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CEL
3 - 0
STJ
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
STJ
1 - 4
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
VAA
2 - 1
FCL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
TPV
1 - 3
VAA
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
VAA
1 - 1
STJ
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
VAA
0 - 1
HJK
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1999 |
2 - 1
VAA
11%
20%
70%
|
71 | 40 | 31 | 0 |