Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 1-3
St. Johnstone vs FK Riteriai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
STJ
2 - 0
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
STJ
1 - 2
GLA
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
STJ
1 - 0
HOM
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
STJ
1 - 0
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CEL
4 - 1
STJ
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
FK Riteriai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GKA
0 - 8
TRA
7%
13%
81%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 0
UUT
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
STU
0 - 0
TRA
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
TRA
2 - 0
SUD
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
SVY
0 - 2
TRA
3%
9%
88%
|
74 | 33 | 41 | 0 |