St. Johnstone vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
10º
9º
44
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
STJ
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 4
CEL
11%
19%
70%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
0 - 2
STJ
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 0
STJ
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
STJ
0 - 1
GLA
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STM
1 - 0
ROS
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MHE
2 - 1
STM
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 1
STM
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STM
0 - 1
HIB
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 3
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |