St. Johnstone vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
ICT
0 - 1
STJ
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 3
STJ
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
STJ
0 - 1
FAL
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 1
STJ
11%
19%
70%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
RAI
2 - 4
EAS
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
ELG
1 - 5
RAI
12%
19%
68%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
FAL
4 - 2
RAI
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
RAI
4 - 1
ALL
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
LIN
2 - 1
RAI
12%
19%
69%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |