St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
HAM
2 - 1
STJ
61%
18%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
STJ
3 - 2
CLY
57%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
ABE
3 - 0
STJ
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1938 |
STJ
4 - 0
ALB
76%
13%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
STJ
1 - 2
RAI
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1938 |
HOM
5 - 2
STM
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1938 |
AYR
3 - 1
HOM
24%
20%
56%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1938 |
HOM
4 - 0
MHE
60%
19%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1938 |
FAL
0 - 1
HOM
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1938 |
HIB
4 - 0
HOM
25%
20%
55%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |