St. Johnstone vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
CLY
2 - 1
STJ
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
STJ
2 - 2
DUN
32%
25%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
GLA
8 - 0
STJ
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
STJ
1 - 0
KIL
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
STJ
1 - 0
QUE
51%
23%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
ABE
1 - 3
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
HOM
1 - 1
HIB
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
HOM
4 - 1
CWB
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
HOM
6 - 2
FAL
70%
17%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
DUN
5 - 3
HOM
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |