St. Johnstone vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
CEL
5 - 0
STJ
81%
12%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
STJ
1 - 0
AIR
46%
21%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
STM
2 - 0
STJ
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
STJ
3 - 1
CWB
38%
22%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1932 |
CLY
2 - 3
STJ
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1932 |
AYR
0 - 1
FAL
65%
17%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1932 |
HAM
3 - 0
AYR
72%
15%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1932 |
AYR
3 - 1
CLY
61%
18%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1932 |
KIL
3 - 5
AYR
68%
16%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1932 |
MHE
3 - 1
AYR
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |